Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd440f47b5597b385dfe429a81283d9a2e420123bd8414895dd36b02c2e1d872c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Team Spirit, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Heroic | 42c | 20,795$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,121.39 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 58c | 20,573$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 36c | 15,231$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,807.17 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 12,752$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.89 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 37c | 5,960$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.78 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 4,834$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.25 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 46c | 4,799$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 4,367$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 3,953$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.45 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 7c | 3,947$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 2c | 3,022$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Heroic | 41c | 2,895$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.66 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,779$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic | 59c | 2,637$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.82 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 2,500$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.67 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 2,390$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Heroic | 48c | 1,876$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.22 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,685$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,674$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.09 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 1,608$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.11 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Heroic | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.49 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.58 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 8c | 1,233$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 41c | 1,191$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.37 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 54c | 1,049$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.03 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Heroic | 55c | 953.67$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 847.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 817.25$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 59c | 715.42$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit | 8c | 697.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic | 67c | 669.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.22 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 55c | 617.19$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 613.11$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.65 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Heroic | 67c | 606.46$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic | 51c | 600$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Team Spirit | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked Heroic | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Heroic | 72c | 568.33$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Heroic | 34c | 557.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.94 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 556.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic | 37c | 513.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…db4fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 483.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 73c | 472$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Spirit | 29c | 458.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 53c | 430.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 58c | 427.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Heroic | 73c | 408.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Heroic | 53c | 378.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 54c | 356.49$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Team Spirit | 31c | 350$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Team Spirit | 66c | 343.64$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…6660backed Team Spirit | 53c | 341.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Spirit | 6c | 318.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 8c | 307.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Heroic | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Spirit | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 43c | 299.54$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 45c | 289.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 287.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 223.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 214.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Heroic | 72c | 212.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…c040backed Team Spirit | 5c | 205.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Spirit | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 40c | 190.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Spirit | 55c | 181.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked Team Spirit | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Team Spirit | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Heroic | 39c | 165.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 16c | 163$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…dfbabacked Team Spirit | 42c | 155.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team Spirit | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 60c | 151.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 150.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…edbcbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 138.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Heroic | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Spirit | 56c | 134.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Heroic | 73c | 133.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Heroic | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 130.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…f000backed Team Spirit | 48c | 123.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed Heroic | 53c | 122.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 120.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heroic | 68c | 117.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Heroic | 46c | 107.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…0379backed Team Spirit | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…c0a9backed Team Spirit | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.