TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28ea…08a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.96
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156%+$78
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$34.67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$44.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$247.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$134.73
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.68
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.63
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$12.73
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$57.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$60.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$40.23
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.26
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+67%+$26.15
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$170.77
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$69.65
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$32.99
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$22.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$60.23
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104%+$40.35
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$41.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$6.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$40.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$4.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.