TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,808 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under44c10,935$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,126.662161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Over58c8,794$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over56c5,472$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c4,938$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.853,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c4,371$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.1891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over55c3,730$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.495653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6808124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under44c2,821$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over31c2,299$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.692330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over56c2,180$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.83154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over30c2,061$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.823145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over5c1,821$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c1,595$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under45c1,556$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c1,474$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under45c1,367$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.673461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under45c1,160$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over27c1,076$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.834425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over40c999.66$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.92733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c732.14$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over23c678.03$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1511643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under45c598.53$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa938…1c6cbacked Over14c550$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over56c477.2$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.233321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over57c440.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over56c413.02$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over56c401.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c381.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over56c325.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.431566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over56c312.83$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under44c299.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9821243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e00…d969backed Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over34c244.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.027829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over57c220.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.955554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over55c197.22$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6715846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over44c186$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.72536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under70c180.75$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over57c175.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c173.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c172$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3218049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under59c170.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.417135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under78c166.53$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.272,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under45c150.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.156056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under44c147.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c144.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5614963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8916856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over58c134.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.399354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over55c133.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.165554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under43c131.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.974663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7c…b686backed Under43c127.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under44c119.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.183050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4c…9907backed Over56c115.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Over48c115.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over55c113.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over56c111.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over55c106.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.824841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over28c106.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.714641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c98.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over56c91.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over55c90.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over55c88.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.799048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over52c78.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.941526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over56c76.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Over55c74.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c72.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.531,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa2…e287backed Over55c72.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.26041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c69.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Over56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c61.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over56c61.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c58.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5316543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under45c54.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6bf6backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.359638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over56c54.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over56c50.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.