Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1f75706409fea1a9c56f41bd1f5325df4b68c993216f2bbdb034c1463ca7bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 44c | 10,935$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Over | 58c | 8,794$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 56c | 5,472$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 4,938$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 4,371$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.18 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 55c | 3,730$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.49 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 44c | 2,821$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 31c | 2,299$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 56c | 2,180$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 30c | 2,061$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 5c | 1,821$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 1,595$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.91 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 1,474$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.07 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 45c | 1,367$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.67 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 27c | 1,076$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 40c | 999.66$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 732.14$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 678.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Under | 45c | 598.53$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…1c6cbacked Over | 14c | 550$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 56c | 477.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 57c | 440.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 56c | 413.02$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 381.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 56c | 325.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 56c | 312.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d969backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 34c | 244.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 57c | 220.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 55c | 197.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 44c | 186$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Under | 70c | 180.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 57c | 175.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 173.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 172$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 59c | 170.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 166.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 45c | 150.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 147.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 144.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 58c | 134.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 55c | 133.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 43c | 131.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…b686backed Under | 43c | 127.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 44c | 119.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…9907backed Over | 56c | 115.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Over | 48c | 115.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 55c | 113.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 56c | 111.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over | 55c | 106.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 28c | 106.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 56c | 98.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 55c | 90.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 88.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 52c | 78.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Over | 55c | 74.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 72.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…e287backed Over | 55c | 72.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 69.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Over | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 56c | 61.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 56c | 58.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 45c | 54.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6bf6backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 56c | 54.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 56c | 50.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.