TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01b3…52de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$23.45
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs James Kent Trotterbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Menorca: Norbert Gombos vs Ivan Gakhovbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$27.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46%+$31.31
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.56
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.67
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.39
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.99
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$46.02
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$35.66
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.06
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$36.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.