NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf52c12a8e1d733106c87a38d5cccae22e2da3ec4e98c3d3fa17fc987d0aad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,016,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,322,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,016,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans | 5c | 146,160$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791.2 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Pelicans | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.94 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 6c | 76,477$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 32c | 69,213$22,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,056.08 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 22c | 60,366$13,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,279.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pelicans | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.93 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Rockets | 64c | 37,762$24,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,498.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans | 23c | 37,500$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,720.05 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 5c | 26,352$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 69c | 24,882$17,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,713.49 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Rockets | 70c | 24,191$16,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.68 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pelicans | 32c | 23,135$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.34 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Pelicans | 2c | 21,992$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.25 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 28c | 20,938$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans | 0c | 20,827$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Rockets | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 70c | 19,891$14,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Pelicans | 4c | 17,752$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 32c | 15,821$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 69c | 15,391$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 16c | 15,318$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pelicans | 5c | 13,777$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.37 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Rockets | 68c | 13,735$9,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.21 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 20c | 13,517$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Pelicans | 25c | 13,500$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Rockets | 68c | 13,259$8,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.63 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 31c | 12,935$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.87 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 31c | 12,775$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans | 0c | 12,722$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Pelicans | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans | 33c | 11,622$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.25 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 14c | 10,694$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.93 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pelicans | 1c | 10,268$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Rockets | 69c | 10,168$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.3 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 68c | 10,150$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.98 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pelicans | 20c | 9,950$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.87 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rockets | 67c | 9,600$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pelicans | 5c | 9,550$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.62 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Pelicans | 22c | 9,228$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rockets | 67c | 8,400$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans | 32c | 8,181$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.92 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pelicans | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pelicans | 10c | 7,749$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.42 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Rockets | 67c | 7,186$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.36 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…cd29backed Pelicans | 0c | 7,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Pelicans | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Rockets | 67c | 6,990$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Rockets | 68c | 6,841$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.06 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 3c | 6,606$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Pelicans | 5c | 6,574$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Pelicans | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…b6e0backed Pelicans | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Rockets | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 5,955$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…6014backed Rockets | 67c | 5,900$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rockets | 64c | 5,839$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.1 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Rockets | 70c | 5,707$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.1 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…1567backed Pelicans | 33c | 5,686$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…2a01backed Pelicans | 33c | 5,513$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 18c | 5,300$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Rockets | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Rockets | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pelicans | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2ea0backed Pelicans | 33c | 4,880$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…1cedbacked Pelicans | 33c | 4,877$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…edcdbacked Pelicans | 33c | 4,846$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d404backed Rockets | 69c | 4,841$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.54 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans | 34c | 4,792$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.95 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…9246backed Pelicans | 33c | 4,763$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Rockets | 71c | 4,706$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.63 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…3920backed Pelicans | 33c | 4,669$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…7709backed Pelicans | 33c | 4,653$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans | 32c | 4,624$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.62 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,609$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.11 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans | 3c | 4,332$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…50f0backed Rockets | 69c | 4,322$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.28 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…b74ebacked Pelicans | 33c | 4,211$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pelicans | 2c | 4,166$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…541bbacked Pelicans | 32c | 4,063$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Pelicans | 37c | 4,052$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.98 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 5c | 4,040$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Rockets | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 4c | 3,868$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…ad35backed Pelicans | 31c | 3,530$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Rockets | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Pelicans | 1c | 3,423$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 76c | 3,422$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 64c | 3,111$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.8 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,090$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Rockets | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…ad28backed Rockets | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Rockets | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…d35bbacked Pelicans | 5c | 2,861$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…5139backed Pelicans | 33c | 2,811$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,807$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.69 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans | 36c | 2,805$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pelicans | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d9…bdd5backed Pelicans | 33c | 2,763$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,582$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Pelicansthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.