NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae05cf9cd64b082e1babc2b8800ddfbc9b8585ca6701972d35f29088e78e67fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…5d8cbacked Pelicans | 0c | 223,210$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Pelicans | 53c | 98,642$52,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,280.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 47c | 63,410$29,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,922.08 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Pelicans | 53c | 48,503$25,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,536.64 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 54c | 41,379$22,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,144.41 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 31,991$16,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,935.09 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 5c | 22,243$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Rockets | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Rockets | 48c | 20,052$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,376.16 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Rockets | 48c | 13,938$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.95 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 12,978$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Rockets | 48c | 11,895$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.36 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 64c | 11,107$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Rockets | 47c | 9,419$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.07 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 47c | 9,101$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Rockets | 48c | 8,769$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 48c | 8,494$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.17 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Rockets | 49c | 7,239$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.47 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.94 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…cd53backed Rockets | 47c | 5,717$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 47c | 5,562$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.95 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…2dd8backed Rockets | 47c | 5,532$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Rockets | 49c | 5,342$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.76 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 47c | 5,195$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…1c18backed Rockets | 47c | 4,866$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 4,763$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,151$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Rockets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets | 49c | 4,063$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.22 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 47c | 3,992$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,984$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.93 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,978$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.93 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,350$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.31 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets | 47c | 3,204$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.26 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Rockets | 47c | 2,954$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.76 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 39c | 2,472$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Rockets | 49c | 2,416$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Rockets | 47c | 2,410$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.41 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,400$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 49c | 2,294$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,231$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 47c | 1,925$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 47c | 1,778$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,328$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,206$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 47c | 1,171$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 47c | 1,120$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Pelicans | 51c | 985.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 53c | 896.3$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rockets | 47c | 773$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Pelicans | 53c | 754.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets | 47c | 706.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rockets | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Rockets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pelicans | 14c | 571.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rockets | 45c | 495$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Rockets | 48c | 492.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pelicans | 52c | 490.56$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rockets | 62c | 484.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Rockets | 47c | 421.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Rockets | 48c | 419.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets | 49c | 396.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…c44cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 378.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 47c | 367.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rockets | 48c | 349.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets | 48c | 346.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pelicans | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 47c | 332.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 53c | 321.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 47c | 310.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans | 25c | 288.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pelicans | 54c | 285.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pelicans | 51c | 267.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Rockets | 47c | 263.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 48c | 259.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 246.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Rockets | 47c | 230.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans | 52c | 229.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Pelicans | 53c | 226.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets | 48c | 224.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 48c | 221.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Rockets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…7a74backed Rockets | 49c | 203.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Pelicans | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Pelicans | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 46c | 194.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. PelicansRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.