TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c91,091$48,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,886.3532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under47c54,985$25,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,842.9516039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under2c33,500$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under48c29,000$13,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,9202650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a97…99bebacked Under48c18,973$9,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,107.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1055backed Under48c18,466$8,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,863.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc885…a5d5backed Over52c17,502$9,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20e7…0255backed Under48c16,977$8,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf73b…1721backed Over52c16,104$8,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,729.926100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fec…cbd4backed Under48c15,977$7,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,668.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0d…f5aabacked Over52c15,481$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,430.886100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x886a…235cbacked Over52c15,077$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,236.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…5032backed Over52c14,664$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,038.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+63.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb70c…5854backed Over52c14,417$7,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,920.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+61.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce66…ed0bbacked Over52c13,932$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,687.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf923…6355backed Over52c13,548$7,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,503.046100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c11,815$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2f8…720fbacked Under48c9,894$4,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x764d…8175backed Under48c9,585$4,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over60c8,497$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.995750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under2c8,058$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under50c8,008$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.161,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under30c7,712$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under47c6,850$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under47c6,170$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under0c6,139$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under46c5,384$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c5,241$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c4,820$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c4,298$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,964$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under48c3,754$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.142,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under2c2,130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9871,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over74c2,031$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6960444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,713$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c1,690$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.4758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under50c1,673$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc305…270bbacked Under48c1,650$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c1,560$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under38c1,527$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,392$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,177$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over54c1,147$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c1,042$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9912251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c921.36$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c896.41$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.271,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under47c780$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.647354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over71c564.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under28c556.77$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under33c504.03$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.471,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c450$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.071,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d1…8890backed Under48c445$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f2…7522backed Over52c442$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c434.74$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…f37cbacked Over52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c359$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c357.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c312.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.151,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a0…b536backed Over52c286$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e6…3e91backed Under48c259$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.32540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c223$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c220.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.372,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebe…2b53backed Over52c219.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…d80bbacked Under48c219.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8256…332ebacked Over52c219.04$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…eea3backed Over52c218.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b0…0ad6backed Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79d…91a2backed Over52c217.87$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c3…89a1backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ba…177abacked Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd036…49d3backed Over52c216.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…92d4backed Over52c216.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa30f…a371backed Under48c216$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…17f1backed Over52c215.52$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe359…ba7dbacked Over52c215.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…ddd4backed Under48c215$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…8dcbbacked Over52c214.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58a…b5e5backed Under48c214$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df9…bc0dbacked Over52c213.39$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…5c5ebacked Under48c213$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c212.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a7…3e4fbacked Under48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…570cbacked Over52c211.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a1…6f01backed Under48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fd…49e3backed Under48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a4…bf2abacked Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42b…c828backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd018…8532backed Over52c207.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5728…9e07backed Over52c207.42$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under7c205.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3422336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1507…ecb2backed Over52c205.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6051…fdbfbacked Under48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305d…6ad0backed Over52c204.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.