TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c30,000$15,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,269.921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over51c18,000$9,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,885.354042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c14,371$6,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c13,868$6,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under52c11,601$6,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,032.491,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c10,208$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.959159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,943$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.821,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c5,533$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.832,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c4,394$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.9321653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c4,036$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c3,046$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.061,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c2,778$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.891,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c2,549$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c2,467$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.111,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c2,143$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,865$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,768$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,272$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,162$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under49c971.43$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4767248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c942.18$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c909.42$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34344252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Over49c655.29$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c589.13$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c521$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under2c509.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c438.07$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c393$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.571,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c380$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c329.03$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c328.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c326.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15325846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c298.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under10c292.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3321443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under37c285.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.381,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under40c267.74$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under49c261.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c246.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c228.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc238…68fbbacked Under50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0e…40debacked Under50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57f…06e7backed Under50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…e58bbacked Under50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…95adbacked Over50c217.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d14…5e54backed Over50c216.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac5…273ebacked Over50c216.03$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a9…af3cbacked Over49c215.68$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e9…bd51backed Over50c215.25$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0169…1f34backed Over50c215.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cd…a192backed Under50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97b…94d6backed Under50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a03…351fbacked Under50c213$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d03…3687backed Over50c212.1$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8186…1558backed Under50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d2…6cecbacked Under50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474f…847cbacked Over50c207.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1542…d43abacked Over50c206.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9012…f7a2backed Over50c206.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5692…5477backed Under51c206$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c70…bbb6backed Over50c205.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807d…a204backed Over50c205.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c204.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…81a6backed Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa32…7cb2backed Over50c203.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b9…a88abacked Under50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…3839backed Under50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dc…492dbacked Over50c202.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924f…249bbacked Under50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under50c200.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b1…8524backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd42…b5b1backed Over50c199.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…1446backed Over50c198.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c1…a108backed Over50c197.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…d4c2backed Over50c197.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…3fdebacked Under50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2781…9142backed Under50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f2…a118backed Under50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf00…6f34backed Under50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f0…dc7dbacked Under50c195$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ef…7020backed Over50c194.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd800…39dfbacked Over50c194.13$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…95babacked Under51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…3994backed Over50c193.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…1f89backed Over50c193.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c193.56$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9121347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d9…818dbacked Over50c192.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…4dfebacked Under50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591b…1b16backed Over50c191.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d9…c207backed Under50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d7…1373backed Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.