NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da00ad14333f6c7a61471ac70d6eec652d66ecd1bc3f52fc1c72def3b200d3d

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $153,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $163,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,765 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets	54c	31,121$16,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,215.07	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans	50c	22,266$11,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,110.21	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans	48c	15,588$7,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,483.59	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	52c	14,000$7,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,720	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Rockets	53c	8,962$4,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,212.26	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans	46c	8,481$3,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,865.49	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Rockets	50c	8,400$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Pelicans	47c	8,124$3,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,844	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Pelicans	49c	8,075$3,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,944	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Pelicans	45c	5,580$2,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,511	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Rockets	52c	5,026$2,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,412.35	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans	45c	3,938$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,772.02	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Pelicans	45c	3,560$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.6	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets	52c	3,430$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.4	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans	48c	2,800$1,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.98	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Rockets	51c	2,745$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.1	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	50c	2,582$1,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.34	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Pelicans	48c	2,576$1,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.27	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets	50c	2,022$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.22	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Pelicans	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Rockets	52c	1,974$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.57	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Rockets	51c	1,865$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.25	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Rockets	51c	1,471$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.59	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Pelicans	47c	1,435$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.07	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Pelicans	49c	930$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.7	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Rockets	51c	799.98$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.99	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Rockets	52c	766$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.68	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+115.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans	47c	496.63$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.2	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans	48c	494.73$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.59	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans	47c	491.33$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.92	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets	50c	477.76$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.88	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets	52c	440.65$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.51	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets	50c	435.39$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.37	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	52c	427.59$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.08	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Rockets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Rockets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pelicans	13c	397$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Rockets	51c	378$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.22	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Rockets	50c	369.6$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.8	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Rockets	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rockets	52c	292.41$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.28	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rockets	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	50c	243$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.26	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans	47c	235$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Rockets	52c	232.22$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.47	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets	50c	227.73$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.62	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Rockets	51c	217.1$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.38	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Rockets	58c	216.88$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.03	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-8.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets	51c	214.72$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.4	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Rockets	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Rockets	50c	198.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.04	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets	53c	176.19$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.96	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Pelicans	50c	172.45$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.23	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Rockets	64c	156.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.59	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Pelicans	45c	150.73$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.83	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets	51c	148.18$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.27	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Pelicans	47c	142.77$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Rockets	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans	48c	131.34$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.04	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rockets	50c	125$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans	43c	116.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Rockets	51c	109.22$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.52	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pelicans	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Rockets	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Rockets	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Rockets	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Rockets	53c	98.21$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.21	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Rockets	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Rockets	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Rockets	53c	91.97$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.54	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	51c	89.73$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.09	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans	49c	89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pelicans	46c	87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.02	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Pelicans	46c	84.05$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Pelicans	33c	82.05$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Rockets	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Pelicans	47c	73.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Rockets	52c	71.35$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pelicans	48c	67.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pelicans	49c	64.9$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Rockets	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Pelicans	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Pelicans	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Rockets	52c	50.7$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.26	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rockets	50c	50.39$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.4	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Pelicans	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	437	50.1%219 W · 218 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Pelicans	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…2a2ebacked Rockets	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	50c	47.96$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.98	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Pelicans	48c	41.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets	51c	40.83$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	388	53.4%207 W · 181 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…b31bbacked Pelicans	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Pelicans	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Rockets	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	332	51.2%170 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
Rockets vs. PelicansRockets won
Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event