TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x573e…e08a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$152.18
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.37
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.45
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.43
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$227.18
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$203.83
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$106.38
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.48
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+370.8%+$296.62
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+216%+$62.63
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$42
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$23.53
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$44
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.4
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$34.5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.37
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.68
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+74.5%+$49.17
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$21.67
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$95.2
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$80.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+184.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+173%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.