Music · resolved market

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68d98bdb8e918fb9f44474f0f6024a3cbbb02cc65d620061c7c3cc953921fd5

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	8,740$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	147	8.2%12 W · 135 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes	2c	7,996$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.95	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x919a…ab8fbacked Yes	2c	6,351$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	1c	5,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	148	35.8%53 W · 95 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	4,996$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.04	58	3.4%2 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+202.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	0c	4,640$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+132.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	1c	3,250$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	143	15.4%22 W · 121 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+353%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff1…39b9backed Yes	2c	2,973$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes	3c	2,711$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.18	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc76…0ef9backed Yes	1c	2,661$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes	2c	2,601$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.95	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	1c	2,508$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,322$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	462	9.7%45 W · 417 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65be…9b79backed Yes	1c	1,715$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes	1c	1,512$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	46	2.2%1 W · 45 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+272%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes	2c	1,443$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+136.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	1,361$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes	1c	1,299$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+345.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	1,219$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	107	4.7%5 W · 102 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd5…63ebbacked Yes	1c	1,175$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes	2c	1,076$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	2c	999.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked Yes	2c	916.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Yes	2c	764.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+184.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2691…232fbacked Yes	2c	619.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes	2c	611.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+134.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	3c	453.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event