TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x594e…1c11backed Yes21c7,907$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.283135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes20c6,978$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.156144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes16c6,451$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.329335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes17c5,704$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.514626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes14c5,433$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.16253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e2…6078backed Yes23c3,535$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…94bcbacked Yes21c3,109$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes13c2,527$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.827549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes18c2,524$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.433013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa757…d062backed Yes21c2,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+251.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes17c1,973$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes13c1,824$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2437416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes13c1,744$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7510235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes26c1,700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.391947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No76c1,600$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3884141.5%17 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Yes14c1,585$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.144835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes21c1,551$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.134434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes19c1,427$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.657425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes18c1,400$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes5c1,392$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.883040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+110.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed Yes14c1,365$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes12c1,257$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes12c1,256$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed Yes18c1,190$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.661323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes16c1,153$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.576926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes15c1,133$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.886334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No79c1,130$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.86642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Yes17c1,100$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes18c1,014$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.436544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No79c1,003$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.188737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1efe…4872backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…e00cbacked Yes21c988.25$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.11010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed Yes20c922$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed No80c880$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes13c826$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes15c784.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed Yes12c744$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes18c723$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-74.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b92…7585backed Yes18c698$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed Yes18c671$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c565.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.598122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes16c561.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.91156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c560.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b8…c4babacked Yes22c536.41$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd89d…7249backed Yes16c530.26$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked Yes10c513.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.154131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes23c509.88$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11570%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked Yes19c487$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.941931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f51…8b09backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No77c454.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf383…c49fbacked Yes19c429.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a43…5374backed Yes23c409.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes19c405.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.28837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes17c399.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes10c399.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ce…cd2fbacked Yes22c372.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5860%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes15c354.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes17c332.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.621816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08db…296fbacked Yes14c317$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No79c316$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.361030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes16c277.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes17c272.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.874924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd9…48d8backed Yes21c263.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes19c261.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c241.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.721074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes21c232.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Yes19c227.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90a…14cfbacked Yes18c221.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…496cbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…d036backed Yes20c215.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d3…b82ebacked Yes19c215.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes16c210.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.654318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes8c205.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-78.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed No77c205.57$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…e467backed Yes15c204.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b9…3e11backed Yes19c200.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes12c200.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.687740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes13c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes19c197.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.872025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes22c196.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes16c191.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No78c185$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c184.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2510529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes10c177.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes12c176$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes17c173$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No77c161.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.697121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9c…dab9backed Yes13c159.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…7572backed Yes17c159$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes16c158.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No78c154$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed No79c151.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…41f6backed Yes17c151$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes18c145$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes14c143.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.