TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7c2…fcbe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Movies, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.5
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$581.76
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77.22
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$93.6
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+97.5%+$239.95
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$334.41
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$449
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$133.7
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.19
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.63
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$608.4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.35
Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+76.2%+$102.51
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$115.96
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$47.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104.16
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$72.54
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$419.58
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.48
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.15
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+396.6%+$1,037.42
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$269.28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.28
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104.13
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$275.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.27
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.64
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$335.72
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.75
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$197.4
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$419.82
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$121.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$785.26
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.28
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.08
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$84
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+213.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$422.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$157.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.