Movies · resolved market
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad4f72db7e966660b660d94292596b44a908ae8661f92f163cf0d93b6b9a422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x026b…f975backed No | 1c | 7,721$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 30c | 1,562$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.31 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,291$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.9 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 66c | 1,226$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 44c | 1,152$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…b313backed Yes | 56c | 1,086$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 39c | 956.6$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 942.27$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.68 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked No | 42c | 925$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 52c | 851$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 56c | 796$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 58c | 776$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 47c | 740.17$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 78c | 709.89$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 57c | 654$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 56c | 635$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 44c | 604$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.24 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 39c | 590.53$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 43c | 561$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 56c | 541$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 42c | 536$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 44c | 532$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 39c | 518.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 57c | 509$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 43c | 495$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 12c | 478.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 57c | 459$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 56c | 455$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 50c | 425$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 60c | 415.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 58c | 406$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 43c | 393$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 39c | 392.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 43c | 380.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 54c | 373.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 38c | 347.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 52c | 345.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 50c | 325$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 42c | 317.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 56c | 313$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 52c | 309$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 56c | 308$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 44c | 301$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 56c | 298$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 47c | 297.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 35c | 289.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 44c | 287$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 43c | 271$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 56c | 257$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 42c | 248$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 41c | 241$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 43c | 238$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 43c | 238$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 44c | 234$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…5fe1backed Yes | 54c | 232.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 52c | 231.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 48c | 229.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 223.72$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 56c | 213$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 60c | 186.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…b87fbacked Yes | 54c | 184.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 54c | 175.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…2235backed Yes | 57c | 174.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 43c | 153$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 151.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 57c | 137$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 44c | 123.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 116.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…4d05backed Yes | 52c | 114.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9872…b40cbacked Yes | 68c | 110.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 107$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 50c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3de4backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Hamnet win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.