TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5d3…a77b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.74
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.7%+$41.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.26
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.5%+$31.64
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+93.3%+$35.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+60.5%+$64.69
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$152.07
Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.13
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.13
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$35.39
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.59
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+84%+$86.4
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+86.2%+$28.68
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Stellan Skarsgard be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Adolescence win Best Limited Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75%+$115.37
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+71.7%+$162.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+97%+$207.05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.15
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.6
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$36.93
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.15
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.13
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.29
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+79.9%+$219.1
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+272.6%+$51.98
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37.8%+$48.05
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$115.72
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+54.9%+$109.87
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+79.7%+$64.66
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.9%+$26.9
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$190.33
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+36.8%+$40.5
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$87.12
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+70.1%+$23.08
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$172.46
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$223.59
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+30%+$78.33
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37.2%+$81.89
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.1%+$85.01
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.9
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.13
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.03
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.33
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$75.25
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.5%+$86.13
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$211.85
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.1%+$10.95
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83%+$8.31
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.74
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$298.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.46
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$87.58
Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.45
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.42
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.86
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.5%+$14.02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$92.07
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$179.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.1%+$107.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+87.3%+$12.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.62
Will Solana dip to $120 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$291.99
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$389.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$155
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$507.81
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.52
Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.73
Will Trump say "Baby" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+65.1%+$13.26
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$211.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.38
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.8%+$51.58
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.4%+$13.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.6%+$46.4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Angola vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Gerard win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.