TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $110 in December?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes12c31,071$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.6535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No72c6,208$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.1813053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No48c6,157$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.6425824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc68…c919backed Yes0c3,705$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes30c3,210$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.65425.9%14 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No80c2,903$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.863253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7738…a3c5backed No70c1,990$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+265.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fe…50c4backed Yes30c1,981$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8544…a7a9backed No70c1,816$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7670…83aebacked Yes1c1,810$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f6…c914backed Yes30c1,803$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efd…fa74backed No70c1,799$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…3702backed Yes30c1,767$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649e…2413backed Yes22c1,752$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7f…109fbacked No78c1,727$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a5…b185backed Yes22c1,717$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ee…48febacked No78c1,708$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…99c3backed No78c1,598$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a079backed Yes22c1,572$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…ad14backed No70c1,545$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…9c0cbacked Yes30c1,542$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…4064backed No75c1,510$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.917231.4%54 W · 118 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc10a…49bfbacked Yes27c1,488$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…fd47backed Yes22c1,462$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick20cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…5ea0backed Yes30c1,436$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7d…2a63backed No78c1,403$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…d037backed No70c1,379$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7656…6e7dbacked No78c1,334$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491a…27ccbacked No66c1,320$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…7dcabacked Yes22c1,267$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes24c1,218$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4432524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c1,149$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.056785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No55c1,057$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.026758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes18c889.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes33c884.88$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.672015%3 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No74c850.05$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.556250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes6c787.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561203.3%4 W · 116 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb86…bf67backed Yes41c737.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes31c713.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6940643.3%176 W · 230 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c696$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.262999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes56c624.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055869%40 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b6…9272backed Yes4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+114%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c458.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1764812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c377.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.671,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed No69c335.88$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes6c322$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41073.7%4 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes6c302$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441463.4%5 W · 141 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x131f…2fedbacked No74c265.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.312119%4 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes6c264$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed No72c250.92$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.022821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2173…2869backed No68c222.9$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes27c212.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3430531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba10…0592backed No57c194.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.571225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…aebcbacked Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes18c154.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6855032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed No78c146.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.272755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.367835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…1507backed No60c104$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9a6…409cbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373773%27 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae1…389ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedad…17b2backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406250%31 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked No58c88.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes38c86.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2212722%28 W · 99 L-19.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfbbe…b616backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce32…a145backed No79c78.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe175…7d48backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes17c59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.296434.4%22 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6b…167dbacked No54c51.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa269…7d1fbacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa9…38cebacked No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a97…f9dfbacked No52c34.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6697…0721backed No52c33.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No55c31.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1da…b838backed No63c30.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7516537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe69d…bb93backed No65c20.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked No72c17.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fc…5422backed No70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.