TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96e9…4b32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
523
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST6758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+83.5%+$68.25
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.1%+$60.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.3%+$119.72
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$267.91
Will XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.6%+$96.25
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$135.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+95.5%+$85.47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.8%+$317.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+62.3%+$242.65
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+113.7%+$37.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$281.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$125.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$129.81
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+188%+$131.54
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+60.1%+$102.61
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$49.5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$138.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+95%+$95.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$171.88
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+244.7%+$308.39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$9.49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$34.9
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+174.4%+$603.75
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+130.8%+$481.75
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.2%+$148.63
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$270.25
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+91.5%+$133.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$65.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+36.3%+$27.87
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$82.44
Will the US strike Mexico next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$257.51
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32%+$78.85
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$134.47
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185%+$182.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.37
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$105.5
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.65
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$66.3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.53
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.6
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$211.25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$84.8
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$197.75
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.3%+$148.5
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.63
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.8%+$361.06
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+97.4%+$124.83
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$229
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.04
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+55.4%+$20.18
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$163.5
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$123.63
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.79
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.71
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100.2%+$381.46
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+45.6%+$154.35
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$173.4
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+172.3%+$58.25
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.3%+$61.25
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+64.4%+$14.21
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$75.54
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+67.8%+$35.53
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+55%+$7.1
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45.28
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$53.8
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.56
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$583.43
Will Google reach $365 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$67.5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+119.6%+$258.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $164 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$358.55
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$283.44
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+106.6%+$387
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$247.21
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $270?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$212.53
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $158?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $146?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+136.2%+$86.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $190?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Microsoft reach $495 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56%+$5.79
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+65.3%+$7.9
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+142%+$321.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96%+$49.3
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$137.5
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+663.5%+$1,521.54
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+119.9%+$192.36
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+34.3%+$29.35
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.9%+$460.82
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+71.8%+$21.54
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$116.08
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+55.3%+$35.41
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.91
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.9%+$19.31
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.9%+$38.33
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.93
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.2%+$38.17
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+99.2%+$632.76
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$386.99
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.4%+$110.3
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.6%+$166.17
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.28
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$54.45
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.8%+$55.82
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+77.8%+$17.5
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.66
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$164.13
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$45.01
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.1%+$58.36
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.3%+$159.18
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$344
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.16
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$118.41
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.2%+$44.9
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$43.75
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.86
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.7%+$55.89
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.1%+$23.84
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$44.4
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$27.56
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$89.38
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$191.36
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$11.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$80.14
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.18
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+80.3%+$91.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$114.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55.8%+$17.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+95.7%+$24.45
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$198.25
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.5
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+364.6%+$89.78
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$81.26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.47
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$230.99
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222.41
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$25.51
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+831.2%+$138.59
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$61.45
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$94.41
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+507.3%+$662.97
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.92
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.6
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+448.8%+$134.63
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.94
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$365.55
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33%+$16.49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,488.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+67.6%+$521.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.3%+$198.61
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.5%+$6.84
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+41.9%+$17.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37.4%+$59.83
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+43.1%+$8.61
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+34%+$3.81
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$175.2
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+123.9%+$133
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.8%+$48.28
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120.19
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+64.2%+$41.88
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.62
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.12
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$250.83
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+70.9%+$8.3
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41%+$85.83
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$134.38
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.7%+$8.09
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+60%+$7.5
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.5%+$688.89
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$28.8
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$241.06
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.2%+$342.4
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$41.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.56
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$49.68
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$44.98
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.95
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$7.72
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$40.25
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.7
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.26
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$172.67
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.15
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.51
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.96
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.1%+$87.71
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$52.41
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.93
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29%+$4.5
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.4%+$12.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+55.4%+$13.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+94.4%+$47.2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.3
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.2%+$55
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52%+$85.66
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$250.86
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.09
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+193.8%+$130.35
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$129.29
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.05
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+277.4%+$83.2
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57.42
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.4%+$21.34
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+30.1%+$106.34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$111.21
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.9%+$57.19
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$87.25
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.3%+$21.56
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$12.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$275.2
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$7.25
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$205.46
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.04
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.65
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+232.3%+$57.02
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$93.62
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.9%+$20.17
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$153.66
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$174.24
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$403.06
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$70
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$43.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SBV Excelsior (-1.5)backed PEC Zwolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.