NFL · resolved market
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd9fe173a2a7bff1e3ff10598d1161b75bc3b44d1f8c072971f58a1e7275764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75c9…717abacked No | 61c | 1,785$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 1,399$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.27 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 55c | 1,042$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…c807backed Yes | 47c | 982.75$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed No | 45c | 932$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 832$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed Yes | 56c | 803$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 55c | 785$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 59c | 665.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…7e6bbacked Yes | 57c | 653.76$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 45c | 648.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 43c | 624$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 57c | 624$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked No | 58c | 600.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf046…2614backed No | 42c | 570$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 44c | 556$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 67c | 498.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 47c | 481.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 445$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 43c | 350.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 51c | 313$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 65c | 312$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 42c | 307.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 42c | 305.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 47c | 290.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 53c | 285.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 44c | 247$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…4cd6backed No | 44c | 240.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 218.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 43c | 211.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 68c | 180$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…adf8backed Yes | 40c | 171.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 154.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…8a3ebacked Yes | 54c | 148.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 145.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 60c | 135.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 133.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…da19backed Yes | 61c | 132.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…47fabacked Yes | 74c | 130.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 29c | 122.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 49c | 115.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 109.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 46c | 109.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 46c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…c047backed Yes | 52c | 96.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Yes | 55c | 93.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…b607backed Yes | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…71a6backed No | 55c | 90.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Yes | 49c | 90.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…4368backed Yes | 41c | 85.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…e821backed Yes | 50c | 84.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…bedcbacked Yes | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 58c | 77.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 62.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 33c | 62.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…1917backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…a876backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…6bacbacked No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…3f97backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…a089backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…fba3backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d26…e786backed No | 30c | 39.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 56c | 39.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Yes | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…6213backed Yes | 52c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 50c | 35.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…d6f4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…7a88backed Yes | 70c | 35.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb9…5d53backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 45c | 34.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 48c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…96dbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…36c0backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…8af9backed Yes | 49c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…b6b7backed Yes | 54c | 26.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 51c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 52c | 25.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…7a1ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…79e9backed Yes | 70c | 20.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2dccbacked No | 58c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 57c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…aab2backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.