NFL · resolved market
Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe43c6c978454b022a79b21c145766415eb20b65d9cb9f836384b7cb005cf9dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 34c | 1,357$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 66c | 1,014$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed Yes | 13c | 956$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 57c | 482$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 19c | 415$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 64c | 413$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 36c | 413$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 79c | 393.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 58c | 372$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Yes | 42c | 372$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 19c | 358$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 12c | 337$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 80c | 261.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 78c | 251$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 250.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 66c | 221$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 30c | 157.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…a4a6backed No | 66c | 151.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 43c | 144$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…4a37backed Yes | 19c | 103.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed No | 63c | 95.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 88.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed No | 78c | 69.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…1917backed No | 76c | 66.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 22c | 64.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 22c | 57.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 23c | 47.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…4de0backed No | 66c | 40.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 36.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 30c | 35.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9fa5backed Yes | 33c | 32.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 64c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.