TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9507…5db3backed No6c1,676$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5302…c0dfbacked No2c1,084$19 inLost-$19.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…12e5backed No3c1,043$31 inLost-$31.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No4c1,032$41 inLost-$40.6764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6def…2ce0backed No5c733$40 inLost-$39.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf6…dad4backed No3c703$21 inLost-$21.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked No3c652$20 inLost-$19.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…758dbacked No7c648.99$45 inLost-$45.3780%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x183c…9bf6backed No6c630$35 inLost-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed No8c601.16$50 inLost-$502425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked No9c584.9$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed No5c548.65$26 inLost-$26.072429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b3e…bd4dbacked No5c489.97$25 inLost-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf82a…d221backed No5c450.74$22 inLost-$21.6480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…5de3backed No3c421$13 inLost-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No7c302.82$21 inLost-$20.5610731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb114…7b28backed No7c280.97$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5170…b032backed No7c269.34$18 inLost-$17.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No5c237.99$13 inLost-$12.75679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa552…775bbacked No7c201.3$13 inLost-$13.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdec…a7a3backed No7c179.39$12 inLost-$11.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9378…8672backed No7c177.66$12 inLost-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fb…1917backed No27c163.95$44 inLost-$43.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x185d…4cb4backed No11c125$14 inLost-$13.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes63c80$50 inWon+$29.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.