NFL · resolved market
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d985f0ed5eed56408d64cdf7adc80087015bc970b0589c24c4ca25e2c7291db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 70c | 979.97$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.04 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 44c | 780$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 56c | 630$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 47c | 625$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 53c | 625$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…d900backed Yes | 34c | 506.13$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 44c | 466$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 56c | 466$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 30c | 408.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 56c | 349$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Yes | 44c | 349$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 344.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 50c | 334$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed No | 50c | 334$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 190.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…1655backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 41c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 63c | 93.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 33c | 72.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 74c | 72.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 35c | 61.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 36c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 71c | 38.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…1b62backed No | 64c | 36.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…713cbacked Yes | 46c | 35.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 31.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…0651backed No | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690a…2ea7backed Yes | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.7wins | -0.47per pick | 57cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…ed1ebacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed No | 67c | 28.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…1917backed No | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…a950backed No | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 69c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed No | 58c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 68c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.