TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9551…8c45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+50.4%+$15.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.1%+$30.47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+40.6%+$7.41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.5%+$16.61
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.8%+$5.17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$13.41
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30%+$14.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.1%+$43.59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34.79
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+106.2%+$41.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.3%+$15.53
Will it Snow in Atlanta this weekend (January 24 - 26)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+52.9%+$27.12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.9%+$15.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+52.7%+$47.69
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.8%+$15.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+105.9%+$64.5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 28°F or higher on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+91.6%+$43.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.87
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3479.4%27 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$10.98
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.82
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.6%+$31.92
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.6%+$10.28
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.2%+$44.51
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $320-$325 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.07
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $210?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$171.62
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $5.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.4%+$27.12
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 2 above $400?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.89
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $280?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.6%+$45.39
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.1%+$9.32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $365?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.3%+$9.36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $170?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.8%+$30.15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+148.1%+$24.5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.7%+$76.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,840 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25.6%+$27.54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+27.7%+$19.51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.7%+$31.73
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+77.8%+$21.44
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35%+$11.66
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+45.8%+$14.13
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+27.6%+$9.72
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 26 above $430?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+65.6%+$52.01
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$9.09
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$29.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$11.24
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$10.08
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$23
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$110.52
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34.6%+$125.07
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.2%+$345.23
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$372.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $55-$60 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+54.4%+$22.19
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$51.35
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.7%+$11.34
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$76.95
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$605.4
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.4%+$12.09
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.5%+$289.46
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$211.87
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+102.6%+$24.23
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.03
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37.8%+$24.71
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.6%+$69.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.67
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.99
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.58
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128.03
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.7%+$9.49
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35%+$11.66
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41.8%+$34.75
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+207.1%+$43.4
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+27.4%+$9.67
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.2%+$23.08
Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.7%+$11.84
Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+80.7%+$56.89
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.3%+$76.42
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.16
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.98
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.7%+$38.34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$53.29
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.96
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.1%+$111.44
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.6%+$11.07
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.4%+$57.52
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$80.11
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$13.41
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.8%+$10.85
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.46
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+193.9%+$38.39
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.2%+$20.88
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+39.6%+$25.51
Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+43.3%+$13.59
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+192.4%+$49.61
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.5%+$29.6
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61%+$26.18
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.5%+$25.87
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.5%+$9.99
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.7%+$49.98
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.7%+$13.46
Will Tristan Wirfs win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+106.3%+$25.22
Will Penei Sewell win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+204.8%+$51.62
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+45.1%+$14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+115.5%+$24.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+67.7%+$46.06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.69
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.61
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+77.7%+$98.41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+48.1%+$14.62
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.9%+$26.64
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+27.6%+$33.52
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31%+$13.66
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+71.2%+$98.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$6.51
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$8.46
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$44.8
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.47
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.42
Will "Queen of Chess" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29%+$10.12
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42%+$11.54
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.59
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.89
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.12
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.04
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$78.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.71
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$51.45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$42.6
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.96
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$58.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$26.18
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.5%+$96.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-61.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$32.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$68
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+114.6%+$24.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$28.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.2%+$4.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.