Movies · resolved market
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5fcb549ba41884a268c4c94abdc2b49e419682b3a57092987bb9011602612f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 10c | 1,547$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.56 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,399$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.56 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 814.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.36 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 7c | 798$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.16 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 58c | 643$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 17c | 502$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 80c | 498$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 5c | 491$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.73 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 7c | 462$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.76 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 6c | 354$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…c8abbacked Yes | 8c | 307.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 11c | 307.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…1ac1backed Yes | 7c | 287.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 285.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…ab38backed Yes | 7c | 264.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +660.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…4117backed Yes | 7c | 261.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +657.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…53a8backed Yes | 16c | 253$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +517.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…b7d1backed Yes | 7c | 245.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2486…3f73backed Yes | 7c | 245.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +646.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 7c | 238$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…33bdbacked Yes | 8c | 236.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +306.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…d367backed Yes | 8c | 218.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 7c | 213.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 80c | 213$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 9c | 212$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 211.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 80c | 202$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 7c | 198.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 14c | 196$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 20c | 188$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…b85bbacked Yes | 6c | 187.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 68c | 177.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…a350backed Yes | 7c | 173.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +646.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 19c | 169$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9f9abacked Yes | 7c | 159.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 143$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 80c | 137$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 8c | 136.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 20c | 126$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 62c | 125.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 59c | 119.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 20c | 107$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 15c | 104$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 79c | 93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 31c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 69c | 85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…8385backed Yes | 16c | 74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +536.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c0…ce40backed Yes | 16c | 72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +528.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 19c | 71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…a6d6backed Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +517.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 20c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +314%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 80c | 56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 29c | 52.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Akira Emoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Benicio Del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jude Law be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kevin O'Leary be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mark Hamill be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Miles Caton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Oscar Isaac be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Dano be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Bean be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Penn be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Stellan Skarsgård be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Stephen Graham be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.