TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x188a…de60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.18
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.54
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.88
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.84
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+111.7%+$68.88
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50.1%+$50.09
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$66.65
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50%+$211.45
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$636.28
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.9
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.57
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.72
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+79.2%+$233.65
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+73.8%+$90.02
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+36%+$16.04
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.63
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$347.46
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$347.23
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+32.5%+$44.2
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$416.76
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.36
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.9%+$33.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.1
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.58
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.4
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+222.6%+$29.67
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.52
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.92
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.4
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.9
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+212.7%+$154.4
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$36.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.04
Will Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+305.5%+$224.31
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
Will Julia Roberts be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.09
Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$82.85
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.55
Will Akira Emoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.18
Will Thomasin McKenzie be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.55
Will Zach Cregger be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.99
Will Mona Fastvold be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.7
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$119.96
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,900%+$190
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$83.1
Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.24
Will Nouvelle Vague be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.78
Will Warfare be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.4%+$36.89
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+50.1%+$19.02
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.84
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.2%+$16.16
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.31
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.47
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.8%+$28.46
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37.3%+$99.75
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.22
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$268.22
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+173.1%+$31.69
Will Tristan Wirfs win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Penei Sewell win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Cam Jurgens win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Tyler Smith win the NFL Protector of the Year? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$117.6
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$185.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+32.8%+$295.4
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$208.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.