Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2672ee57be0177a78723a9d3463723a6a99f9ef29ce73cbfc7e7dabb222b3bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 5,228$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.23 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed LOUD | 63c | 4,276$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked LOUD | 49c | 1,776$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 1,700$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.22 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,327$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked LOUD | 39c | 1,261$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 756.72$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 750$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD | 65c | 700$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…208ebacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 326.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 306.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 284.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 263.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed LOUD | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 228.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed LOUD | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed LOUD | 74c | 179.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 123.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked LOUD | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked LOUD | 71c | 54.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 64c | 40.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed LOUD | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed LOUD | 33c | 30.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 26.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…3af5backed LOUD | 65c | 23.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed LOUD | 63c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.