TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd9a…796c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT8750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.16
Valorant: M80 vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$20.8
Valorant: M80 vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$31.55
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$219.78
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$103.4
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$116.2
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$299.48
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+93.6%+$197.58
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+83.7%+$91.02
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96.5
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+102.9%+$86.43
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$44.35
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked GIANTX GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.9%+$26.77
Valorant: FOKUS vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.3%+$6.06
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.39
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.3%+$28.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.4%+$20.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.83
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$160.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+298.9%+$149.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$62.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$74.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95.95
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+107.9%+$97.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56.39
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$129.05
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$26.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.73
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$46.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$177.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$83.67
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$39.11
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.95
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$214.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.5%+$63.93
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.5%+$38.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.7%+$83.42
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+30.8%+$7.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$52.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.