Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd292068533d866d53dc75d7d9cb2b98cf9af5356027d5b25402112828e6b427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof DRX, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5549…5303backed DRX | 49c | 15,350$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…1521backed Paper Rex | 51c | 15,308$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed DRX | 68c | 3,219$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 47c | 2,779$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.45 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex | 10c | 1,097$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Paper Rex | 48c | 832.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed DRX | 72c | 702.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DRX | 57c | 504.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paper Rex | 5c | 439.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX | 54c | 430.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.19 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex | 28c | 408.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked DRX | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked DRX | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 182.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed DRX | 59c | 162.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 130.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Paper Rex | 32c | 126.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked DRX | 51c | 113.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed DRX | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Paper Rex | 25c | 95.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed DRX | 52c | 69.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed DRX | 42c | 53.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked DRX | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed DRX | 47c | 42.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Paper Rex | 51c | 41.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Paper Rex | 28c | 40.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 40.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DRX | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DRX | 71c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked DRX | 69c | 29.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked DRX | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed DRX | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX | 44c | 25.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.