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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof DRX, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4762…ba70backed Paper Rex60c11,350$6,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.2813558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef71…892fbacked DRX47c9,850$4,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd6…779bbacked Paper Rex53c9,800$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,606250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed DRX40c9,356$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.3934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked DRX40c6,500$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9826838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex59c5,334$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.618751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked DRX41c4,090$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Paper Rex63c3,823$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.644060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed DRX41c2,720$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa502…8c2bbacked Paper Rex59c2,588$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed Paper Rex59c2,210$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.44663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX34c2,100$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.511,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Paper Rex59c1,970$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.4813345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DRX41c1,750$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.58438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex60c1,619$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.0262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX41c1,568$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.6993248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Paper Rex59c1,500$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.124040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Paper Rex57c1,361$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.1425046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed DRX41c1,237$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.55030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed DRX44c1,208$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.947354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed DRX37c1,150$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4261866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Paper Rex57c1,109$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7417537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed DRX38c1,097$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4641537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28028740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…7618backed DRX65c898.3$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed DRX72c839.9$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.926672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked DRX31c832.93$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.921513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-73.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex59c799.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9928247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Paper Rex27c782.81$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.453246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked DRX42c720.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked DRX65c644.89$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX13c643.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4228541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed DRX36c637.48$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked DRX47c626.96$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed DRX61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3584…e59dbacked DRX47c599$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed DRX19c594.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.173729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Paper Rex59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Paper Rex60c566.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex52c549.8$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.916639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed DRX34c545.38$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1844443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55f0…3cf5backed DRX49c530.69$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex67c529.44$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed DRX41c500$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9331232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed DRX47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed DRX40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Paper Rex59c492.54$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d3…d8cbbacked DRX43c487.1$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…3815backed Paper Rex60c461.67$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Paper Rex75c450$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paper Rex39c439.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9411433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed DRX16c426.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4527411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Paper Rex54c420$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f02…5100backed DRX45c417.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.241050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Paper Rex38c406.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3830828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed DRX62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed DRX51c364.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.732128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Paper Rex74c359.56$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked DRX28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Paper Rex58c349.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Paper Rex59c330.61$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.551827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Paper Rex71c329.43$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5314447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657c…17f5backed DRX27c319.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex62c311.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.731,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed DRX40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed DRX48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed DRX41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed DRX37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked DRX39c299.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Paper Rex57c299.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9825943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Paper Rex78c295.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1134853.7%187 W · 161 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked DRX46c294.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked DRX43c279.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3923548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Paper Rex75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Paper Rex48c244.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.665050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked DRX46c243$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.787236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Paper Rex60c236.42$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.579139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2020…3b53backed DRX27c230.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Paper Rex58c227.09$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe3…584fbacked Paper Rex61c224.06$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Paper Rex59c220.95$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex45c202.21$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.616418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed DRX43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed DRX41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Paper Rex58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8424047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Paper Rex54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed DRX42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed DRX42c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed DRX48c195.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed DRX63c193.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed DRX19c179.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.732035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Paper Rex45c176.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Paper Rex59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Paper Rex71c164.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed DRX35c161.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.55944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked DRX47c161.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.121118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed DRX41c149.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9900…2d11backed DRX10c148.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed DRX34c145.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.