TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fc5…b698

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.26
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.96
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.86
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.09
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.3
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.2
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.89
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$105.34
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$659.44
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$237.88
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)backed All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$126.67
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$184.08
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$199.99
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.5%+$235
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.4%+$277.7
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.67
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$155.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.42
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.83
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$109.15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$112
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$137
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$85.62
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$199.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$194.64
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$117.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.