TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Suns, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,060,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,378,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,060,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Hornets68c122,455$83,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,185.752347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns42c116,119$48,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,384.5420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hornets67c100,000$67,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,999.988750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns33c96,042$31,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,693.7443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets78c82,939$64,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,566.970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns32c75,393$24,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,418.4666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns44c68,607$29,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,998.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Suns36c53,989$19,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,344.0520744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets64c51,374$33,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,363.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets54c49,898$26,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,186.0242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets66c44,755$29,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,424.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Suns24c40,148$9,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,635.524847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns30c33,770$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets53c30,746$16,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,348.991,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Suns34c28,436$9,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,695.493411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Suns3c25,556$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.563179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Hornets79c24,447$19,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.575064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Suns32c22,670$7,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,254.4232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns0c19,674$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.221,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Suns32c15,026$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,808.2219751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns32c15,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Suns34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.892441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets51c14,827$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hornets67c13,971$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hornets69c12,527$8,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920.5927865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Hornets64c11,200$7,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Suns27c10,342$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.3111335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Hornets55c10,170$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,62032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Suns32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.876144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Hornets67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.8614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Suns36c9,356$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.3924937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets63c9,217$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.863,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Suns33c9,004$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8093…a010backed Hornets52c8,406$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.225100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Hornets65c8,223$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.4349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86a…bcabbacked Hornets67c8,000$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Suns49c7,844$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.685453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Hornets66c7,837$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.513366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets66c7,592$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.121,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets59c7,243$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets64c7,016$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Hornets66c6,857$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.452352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Suns28c6,550$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.4436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets65c6,425$4,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.4539349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Hornets63c6,383$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.4812756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Hornets69c6,305$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.115463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Hornets66c6,234$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.54269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Suns11c6,087$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.248560%51 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Hornets51c6,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.9816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Suns46c5,981$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.426841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets65c5,940$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.9459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns1c5,742$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.551,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Suns0c5,650$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Suns0c5,584$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets68c5,005$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.621951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets65c4,960$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Suns34c4,934$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.5729250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Suns18c4,753$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.7110949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Suns27c4,658$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Hornets50c4,600$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2802634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets63c4,566$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Suns33c4,300$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4e…ff53backed Suns33c4,248$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns49c4,213$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.1948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Hornets51c4,178$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.659629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Suns41c4,068$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.246450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns46c4,035$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Hornets52c4,016$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.163850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Suns39c4,014$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.0438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Hornets67c3,755$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.3114061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Suns34c3,720$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.713435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Suns33c3,472$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.6812945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Hornets58c3,471$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.68036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns43c3,332$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Suns33c3,195$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.245263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Suns35c3,147$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.313324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bd…c616backed Suns33c3,113$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets66c3,113$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.9490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Suns34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Suns34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Hornets60c2,995$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.525633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Hornets77c2,959$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.4813245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Suns34c2,940$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5838143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Hornets67c2,926$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.578859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets65c2,909$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.081,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked Suns40c2,908$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.952564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns34c2,735$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.81,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Suns34c2,676$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hornets65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.143438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Suns32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Hornets68c2,410$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Suns34c2,370$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.631315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe0…2576backed Suns3c2,330$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.589033.3%30 W · 60 L+10.9wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+22.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Suns36c2,323$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.6821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Hornets63c2,319$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.7615219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns32c2,146$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Suns24c2,018$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.425626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Hornets68c2,006$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.024067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.