TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$570,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$563,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns53c176,437$93,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,503.2166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Suns54c87,905$47,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,468.6819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hornets46c80,328$36,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,377.2126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets47c76,128$35,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,339.371,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Suns54c62,544$33,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,773.8687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hornets47c48,830$22,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,879.8554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets47c46,272$21,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,624.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Suns53c39,278$20,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,817.12250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets46c29,130$13,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,640.321,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets46c21,291$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,497.141,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hornets47c20,526$9,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,878.759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Hornets48c19,620$9,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,243.566746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets46c9,779$4,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Suns52c9,338$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8563946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets48c8,530$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets46c7,421$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets46c7,165$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets48c7,073$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…f082backed Hornets49c5,939$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.381729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Suns52c5,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Suns54c4,869$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.771,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Suns54c4,862$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets46c4,671$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hornets46c4,585$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Suns54c4,399$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.262441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca30…7060backed Hornets46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Hornets48c3,829$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.9217349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf963…aa06backed Hornets46c3,624$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hornets45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns46c2,954$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Suns53c2,869$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.4541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Suns54c2,634$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.5758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets48c2,400$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.5990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Suns29c2,331$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Hornets47c2,275$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.8914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Hornets46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.8814355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Suns44c1,978$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.141,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Suns52c1,879$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.225945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Suns53c1,862$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.111,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets47c1,778$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.3557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets46c1,710$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Suns55c1,530$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.7621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hornets47c1,517$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Hornets75c1,320$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.649357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets62c1,266$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns52c1,253$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.6840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hornets44c1,196$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets47c1,153$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets47c1,133$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Suns52c1,102$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.995538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Hornets46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5944050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Suns53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Hornets47c910.52$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.5819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets46c870.84$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Suns63c854.54$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets46c845.71$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Hornets46c814.28$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7112240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Suns54c810.47$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.685463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Suns47c803.5$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Suns55c778.4$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1221653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Suns54c741.99$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…df66backed Hornets73c723.44$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.211957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Suns56c696.31$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets47c663.32$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Suns55c633.29$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Suns54c625.43$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7310457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Hornets47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Hornets47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5422159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Suns55c604.74$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5319550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Suns54c590.28$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.453554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Suns54c580.23$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3318648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Suns54c554.62$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hornets46c551.26$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets46c547.82$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Hornets47c533.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7417651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Suns54c505.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets46c476.75$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.453,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Suns55c470.58$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Suns54c439.38$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.277841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Suns30c435.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.282070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets46c430.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Hornets46c420.91$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.291,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Hornets46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1852760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hornets46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1820552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Hornets48c419.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Suns55c408.66$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets47c401.23$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Hornets47c397.27$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Hornets47c376.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.551,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Suns52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.248763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Suns51c371.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Suns53c362.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Hornets52c349.93$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6711033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Suns46c342.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7224139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Suns52c341.79$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.731850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns55c310.54$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Suns39c296.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Suns45c279.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.714926.5%13 W · 36 L-11.3wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hornets48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.