TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c29,199$13,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,284.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Over55c27,401$15,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,216.341020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b4a…500fbacked Under0c25,382$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c9,675$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,643.8620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,428$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Over55c8,773$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c8,681$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under45c7,135$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.0129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c6,191$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.426746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over70c5,847$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.2356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,345$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.11,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under46c4,660$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.5130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Under50c4,138$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c3,019$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c2,245$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.0822948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c1,991$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.8737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c1,928$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.5410847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c1,782$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c1,534$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.1331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c1,273$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under48c1,211$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.2840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c1,208$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.951,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c1,208$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.9590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa3…eb78backed Under50c1,158$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under45c1,125$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.1114940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under50c1,096$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.057143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c1,055$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.252,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under8c900.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under45c891.5$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c890.06$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c887.19$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c752.31$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under45c649.09$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c524.59$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under50c523.53$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7618650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22035444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c475$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c400$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18745146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over54c314.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c283.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over51c208.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1115952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c203.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under13c198.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8555751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ab…8c2ebacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c177.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.261,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under13c146.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6729449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c143.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under12c143.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under17c125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c123.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over55c115.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under50c90.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.119658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under50c82.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2923840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over53c69.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over53c68.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Under46c54.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.987450%37 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Over53c53.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1210753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Under46c52.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.193943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c49.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under48c44.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.316336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over53c44.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8621459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.153,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.420951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under46c37.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4615459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under47c32.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba0…980fbacked Over62c31.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.863577.1%27 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Over53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.730256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under47c28.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556a…8bf1backed Under48c27.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over53c27.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8823453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over53c26.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5614054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over53c25.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8811058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c24.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.041,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf243…fc6cbacked Under50c24.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under47c22.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5145460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over56c19.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.724652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.