TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under44c248,041$110,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,318.654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over56c179,531$99,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,579.519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c34,394$18,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,766.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c16,390$9,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Over55c12,638$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.035655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c10,015$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Under46c7,257$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.227447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c5,351$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.5890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c5,339$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.231,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c5,036$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c2,217$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9208445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over54c1,370$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3111235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under47c1,348$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c913.05$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c608.87$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over54c541.86$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over53c458.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca15…f1b3backed Over52c447.22$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c402.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c377.42$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.641,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over54c315.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.962962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c307.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c302.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c299.89$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.681,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c285.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.461,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Under32c282.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.299149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Under47c271.1$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over56c260.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over52c247.63$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.316858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c245.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1816642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c237$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Over53c205.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.862433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over57c199.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8813954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c197.47$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over55c188.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over55c188.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under10c187.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over54c183.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.541,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under8c183.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under9c155.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over56c154.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under38c150.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over54c137.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0729352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under30c136.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under8c133.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under8c126.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c126.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9860346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…4834backed Over54c118.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.671060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c114.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Over54c108.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over55c101.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.721,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Under47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8211558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c91.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.426762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under14c87.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.929449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c84.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Over58c83.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.944953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over54c76.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2623048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.319849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c76.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over54c72.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.267751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c65.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.161,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over58c63.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.540053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under45c61.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c61.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under46c58.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1124841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2114144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under46c50.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.051,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.713943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7112256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c44.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over55c43.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c8…90c3backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Over52c36.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Under47c36.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over54c36.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5715459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…54adbacked Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5722756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…b834backed Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under47c35.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4613045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over54c34.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7945460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c33.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Under43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.493228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.