TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,314,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,518,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,314,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Suns50c587,653$291,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,566.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets50c344,611$173,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,965.8166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets53c136,284$72,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,376.2236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Hornets50c107,811$53,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,905.4215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns49c53,199$26,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,067.5143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Hornets52c46,897$24,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,619.9120352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets52c36,413$18,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,650.5911457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Suns47c34,390$16,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,155.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hornets51c30,971$15,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,175.7929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets51c28,817$14,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,131.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns47c22,101$10,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,379.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns47c21,925$10,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,304.8972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hornets51c20,688$10,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,137.2648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Suns49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets50c19,899$9,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,949.2537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets50c13,500$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7402,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Suns48c10,092$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8444845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets51c9,360$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns46c9,253$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,289.432,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets52c9,033$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.821,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Suns49c8,100$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.9916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Suns49c7,984$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.237451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Hornets53c7,774$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.9712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns48c7,729$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns48c7,405$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.331,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Suns49c7,063$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.6582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked Suns48c6,835$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.741442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets51c5,883$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.671,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns46c4,841$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Suns51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Suns47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88012945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Suns48c3,956$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.858647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Hornets51c3,882$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.386543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns47c3,588$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Suns48c3,508$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.8170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets52c3,460$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.82,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets50c3,379$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets53c3,227$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.749741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets51c3,202$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets52c2,767$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.2216335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hornets53c2,750$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.6856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Suns48c2,576$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets52c2,239$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.6957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets52c2,236$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.491,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Suns48c2,207$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.3417349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Suns49c2,143$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.927143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Suns49c2,059$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.1758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hornets50c2,050$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Suns49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.611443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Suns48c2,035$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.924658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns46c2,019$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Suns50c1,971$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.524032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Hornets51c1,827$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.1291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Hornets52c1,769$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.072060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Hornets51c1,587$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.6920846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Hornets53c1,570$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.98540%34 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets51c1,510$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns48c1,350$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Hornets53c1,284$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Hornets53c1,283$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.243745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Suns50c1,263$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.710457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets52c1,220$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.631,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f24…9141backed Hornets47c1,104$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Suns46c1,063$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8118651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Hornets51c1,016$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0321550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Suns48c1,001$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Suns50c999.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5117637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Suns48c990.42$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Suns48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0248054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Suns53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Hornets52c941.08$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Suns48c915.03$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Hornets51c843.32$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Hornets50c826.05$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns48c803.76$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Suns48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Suns48c779.08$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Hornets53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.719350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hornets52c727.05$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Hornets52c719.56$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.392445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Hornets51c713.95$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8315952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Suns50c679$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab8…a7c8backed Suns48c603.3$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Hornets51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7622159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Suns49c554.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Suns48c537.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Hornets54c536.56$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.763253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab76…9a7fbacked Hornets54c511.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns46c489.13$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Hornets51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Hornets51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hornets52c482$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Suns49c480.46$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Suns50c479.33$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.596550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Suns48c468.25$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7619745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Hornets51c422.79$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.261,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets62c421.16$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.432,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Hornets51c410.22$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.