TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a87…bce2backed Over56c5,172$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.841070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c3,818$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.491,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under36c3,588$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c2,651$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9913148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…f724backed Over57c1,880$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.426564.6%42 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c1,234$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over63c1,229$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over64c944.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7342348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Over64c917.63$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.63324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under5c792.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under41c774.94$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Over63c774$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.384067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Over63c686.9$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.159851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over56c667.88$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c641.65$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under42c554.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c536.18$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.271,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c536.18$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c536.18$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c455.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.11,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under36c449.84$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.372,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c426$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c397.92$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.821,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c373.85$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over53c301.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fc…39a9backed Over56c292.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.525463%34 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over58c247.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over53c243.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under40c195.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2822643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c176.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.121,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over57c169.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over61c160.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.059854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over62c158.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6113655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under37c150.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over58c147.87$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.18850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under40c143.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8834641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over57c140.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4319550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over57c138.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over57c138.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over57c138.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over57c138.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over63c137.57$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.969749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under37c126.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over58c103.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under27c102.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over57c102.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under37c99.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under42c98.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3144747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over63c93.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under44c83.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c69.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9321843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under38c63.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over52c62.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.086547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over53c59.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over53c58.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c56.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over58c54.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over53c49.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0519650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Under40c47.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0922746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over62c46.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over56c42.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5911459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over63c41.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4420147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe489…3dbbbacked Over55c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.995761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under47c39.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.578342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Over53c36.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Under47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5211659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80fc…d404backed Over55c29.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under44c27.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9132752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c25.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over57c24.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4753349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over72c22.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4124850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…1524backed Over58c22.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Over59c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Over53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.134942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over62c18.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.157650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c8…60cabacked Over62c17.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.