TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73c8…60ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.11
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$5.41
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.43
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$19.57
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.87
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.67
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.01
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.85
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.4
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.08
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.27
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.07
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$31.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.05
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$6.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.36
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire Passion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$10
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.51
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$25.07
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$37.7
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$6.56
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.63
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Valorant: QoR vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$7.23
Valorant: The Rad Syndicate vs S8UL Esports (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stagebacked S8UL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$6.01
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$10.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.47
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$15.61
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.39
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.89
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubaibacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Luleaabacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$6.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.