Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fa7ec9e21eba88b41941833bd87819a96cdb992ae14c9f5cfb4e47c694bb05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68ac…3d7ebacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 24,156$18,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Team Heretics | 20c | 20,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Heretics | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Team Heretics | 18c | 9,720$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.51 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 9,013$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.05 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 8,511$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.6 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…7076backed Team Heretics | 24c | 8,109$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.45 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 7,482$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.88 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 16c | 7,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.74 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Team Heretics | 23c | 5,502$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.57 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Heretics | 20c | 5,159$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 4,989$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.13 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 4,960$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.29 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Heretics | 22c | 4,907$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.58 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 20c | 4,703$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.47 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 4,552$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.53 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 3,967$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.68 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 20c | 3,857$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.52 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics | 21c | 3,199$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.4 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Team Heretics | 15c | 3,143$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.33 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,929$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.85 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 2,832$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 2,660$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.45 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Team Heretics | 20c | 2,551$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.57 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Heretics | 17c | 2,536$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics | 22c | 2,509$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.14 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,300$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,299$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.73 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,112$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.59 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics | 19c | 2,063$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.62 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Team Heretics | 4c | 2,020$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,993$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.52 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,987$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 24c | 1,953$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.8 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,819$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Heretics | 14c | 1,781$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Heretics | 20c | 1,749$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,656$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 1,505$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Heretics | 22c | 1,495$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,381$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.54 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,256$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Team Heretics | 20c | 1,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,187$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 1,131$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Heretics | 23c | 1,111$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,071$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics | 19c | 1,005$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 995.06$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…d5cebacked Team Heretics | 20c | 925.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 860.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…2a04backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 820.87$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 789.77$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Heretics | 25c | 775.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Team Heretics | 25c | 750$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 744.1$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 714.57$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Team Heretics | 24c | 709.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…231fbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 659.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Heretics | 18c | 640.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 635.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Heretics | 24c | 614.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 561.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Team Heretics | 21c | 546.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Team Heretics | 9c | 525.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Heretics | 26c | 507.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 494.81$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 492.82$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Team Heretics | 4c | 471.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Team Heretics | 9c | 410$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…9787backed Team Heretics | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Heretics | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 385.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 384.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 382.46$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…469fbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 379.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Heretics | 13c | 345.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Heretics | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 292.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 280.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…2b63backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 275.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 263.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 263.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…9becbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 255.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed Team Heretics | 9c | 255.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 247.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 245.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…4b76backed Team Heretics | 25c | 240.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 239.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 231.93$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 226.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 160 | 58.1%93 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 222.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.