Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487219d5393af901e3f9178440b35dad77a2d290d45466e8fab5afba70030c71

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Team Heretics
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Heretics	40c	11,344$4,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,567.61	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050	824	52.7%434 W · 390 L	+41.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Karmine Corp	61c	4,962$3,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,928.91	664	37.2%247 W · 417 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics	39c	4,886$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.66	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Heretics	41c	3,763$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.94	525	38.9%204 W · 321 L	+18.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Karmine Corp	61c	3,252$1,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.91	431	51.3%221 W · 210 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp	60c	2,652$1,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.68	704	56.4%397 W · 307 L	+39.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked Karmine Corp	60c	2,440$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Karmine Corp	58c	2,205$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.01	178	39.3%70 W · 108 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Heretics	41c	2,186$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.13	1,525	50.6%771 W · 754 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Team Heretics	41c	1,864$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.24	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Heretics	33c	1,607$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.49	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Heretics	40c	1,473$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	564	32.1%181 W · 383 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp	67c	1,463$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.79	922	54%498 W · 424 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Team Heretics	39c	1,377$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.77	376	41.8%157 W · 219 L	-18.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Karmine Corp	60c	866.58$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.04	117	68.4%80 W · 37 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Karmine Corp	60c	842.74$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.17	331	43.8%145 W · 186 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Karmine Corp	58c	557.59$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.19	300	35%105 W · 195 L	-21.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Karmine Corp	60c	550$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	1,182	44.8%530 W · 652 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…9802backed Karmine Corp	62c	527.69$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.52	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Karmine Corp	60c	499.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.99	174	31%54 W · 120 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12cb…4fe3backed Karmine Corp	59c	444.72$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.33	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Team Heretics	19c	418.48$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.4	350	54.6%191 W · 159 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Team Heretics	40c	347.04$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.82	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp	60c	310$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	1,117	48.8%545 W · 572 L	+40.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Karmine Corp	60c	307.44$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.98	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	866	49.7%430 W · 436 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp	58c	296.64$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.59	474	55.3%262 W · 212 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp	67c	293.26$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.73	634	58.4%370 W · 264 L	+9.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Heretics	40c	265.1$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.04	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Team Heretics	40c	245.82$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Karmine Corp	59c	230.1$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.34	122	59%72 W · 50 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Heretics	40c	212.08$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.83	447	43.6%195 W · 252 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Team Heretics	40c	206.27$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.51	861	44.1%380 W · 481 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Karmine Corp	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	636	46.9%298 W · 338 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Karmine Corp	57c	185.65$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.83	670	56.9%381 W · 289 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Karmine Corp	61c	184.91$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.12	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Karmine Corp	58c	178.39$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.92	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Karmine Corp	58c	168.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	326	50.3%164 W · 162 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Karmine Corp	58c	168.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Karmine Corp	59c	166.02$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.49	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Karmine Corp	60c	156.92$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.74	383	44.6%171 W · 212 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Karmine Corp	61c	138.42$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.98	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…6e92backed Karmine Corp	59c	133.37$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.68	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Team Heretics	40c	125.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-13.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Karmine Corp	61c	122.08$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.61	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp	58c	117.65$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.41	655	63.2%414 W · 241 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Team Heretics	43c	101.07$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	211	40.8%86 W · 125 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Karmine Corp	59c	99.19$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	190	52.6%100 W · 90 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb22…13b0backed Karmine Corp	66c	97.96$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Team Heretics	40c	96.4$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Team Heretics	35c	96.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp	61c	96.06$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	168	58.9%99 W · 69 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Heretics	40c	82.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	282	40.4%114 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Karmine Corp	60c	81.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	255	40.4%103 W · 152 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed Karmine Corp	61c	80.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Heretics	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	2,521	47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L	-34.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Heretics	34c	80$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Karmine Corp	59c	66.53$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.28	115	59.1%68 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Heretics	32c	59.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	416	51.2%213 W · 203 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…5f36backed Karmine Corp	59c	55.05$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Heretics	39c	53.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	349	45.6%159 W · 190 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Heretics	38c	52.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	495	14.3%71 W · 424 L	-70.5wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics	40c	49.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Team Heretics	40c	45.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	394	45.2%178 W · 216 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp	72c	43.74$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	440	46.4%204 W · 236 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Karmine Corp	59c	41.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Team Heretics	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	608	49.5%301 W · 307 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Heretics	41c	39.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	648	46.5%301 W · 347 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp	60c	36.6$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.64	644	35.4%228 W · 416 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Team Heretics	39c	36.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Karmine Corp	61c	32.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Karmine Corp	65c	30.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	843	60.1%507 W · 336 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f99…dedfbacked Karmine Corp	67c	29.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Team Heretics	40c	28.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Karmine Corp	58c	25.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.59	204	63.2%129 W · 75 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Team Heretics	40c	25.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Karmine Corp	61c	23.37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	133	72.2%96 W · 37 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda85…bd68backed Karmine Corp	62c	22.9$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.73	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp	61c	20.32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	822	60.9%501 W · 321 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Karmine Corp	69c	15.96$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.87	261	54.8%143 W · 118 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event