TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd142…5c9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
366
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT25942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 259 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$244.15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.96
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$88.87
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.96
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$71.82
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+281%+$188.26
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$96.9
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$148
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Showing 25 of 259 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+494.3%+$2,453.58
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$691.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$355.23
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.7
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.63
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$263.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.94
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$836.37
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$192.24
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$171.4
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$122.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$69.41
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$2,342.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$376
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$44.84
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.27
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$38.51
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$54.45
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.77
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$98.44
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+223.9%+$335.86
Will Girona win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.4%+$199.7
Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$114.66
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.3
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+159.1%+$441.98
Copa Del Rey: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad (To Advance)backed Real Sociedad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$75
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$63.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,798Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+67.1%+$1,205.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$295.2
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.3%+$55.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$306.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$141.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$123.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.