TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof G2 Esports, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$849,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,045,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $849,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1822…0e6abacked G2 Esports1c35,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180437%3 W · 40 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports28c29,973$8,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,468.891,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Dplus KIA56c24,603$13,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,852.2853750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed G2 Esports13c20,068$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.469955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Dplus KIA54c20,010$10,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,104.6296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked G2 Esports45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9817555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked G2 Esports45c15,296$6,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.267440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed G2 Esports40c14,516$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.8469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA61c13,873$8,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.421,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked G2 Esports13c13,736$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.931,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Dplus KIA78c13,707$10,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.8448149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed G2 Esports0c13,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487910.1%8 W · 71 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA56c12,329$6,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,458.0264155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Dplus KIA58c12,076$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.9857957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed G2 Esports9c10,500$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.9941347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports44c10,475$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.4190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA55c10,276$5,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.491,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked G2 Esports15c10,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45025944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed G2 Esports10c9,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dplus KIA55c9,479$5,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.1932150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked G2 Esports6c9,000$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53234244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Dplus KIA53c8,500$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.442,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked G2 Esports43c8,317$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.2817444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Dplus KIA55c8,080$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6369556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked G2 Esports3c8,000$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked G2 Esports3c7,657$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7145937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Dplus KIA72c7,604$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.9723672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked G2 Esports35c6,913$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.2642149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Dplus KIA53c6,902$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.0785836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed G2 Esports47c6,327$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9927637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked G2 Esports5c6,266$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2971057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Dplus KIA51c6,065$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.0422640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Dplus KIA63c6,000$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.2491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked G2 Esports2c5,264$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002010%2 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed G2 Esports28c5,250$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.564247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed G2 Esports1c5,003$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0389347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked G2 Esports45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503540%14 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed G2 Esports48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9921056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Dplus KIA55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9816258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked G2 Esports45c4,879$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.9430945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked G2 Esports42c4,750$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.431,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed G2 Esports2c4,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.589943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed G2 Esports5c4,429$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5715429.9%46 W · 108 L+15.4wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked G2 Esports34c4,383$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed G2 Esports5c4,263$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1338624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Dplus KIA65c4,208$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.3167760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed G2 Esports45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked G2 Esports13c3,900$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52561045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked G2 Esports9c3,750$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.51,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x470c…2af9backed G2 Esports6c3,696$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8616636.1%60 W · 106 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed G2 Esports3c3,662$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Dplus KIA54c3,643$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.6660354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed G2 Esports11c3,634$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.6210241.2%42 W · 60 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA67c3,604$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.431,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed G2 Esports7c3,561$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2549461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked G2 Esports50c3,533$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.4629945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Dplus KIA77c3,468$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.6533058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed G2 Esports0c3,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Dplus KIA64c3,250$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16027745.8%127 W · 150 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed G2 Esports2c3,201$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8858046.9%272 W · 308 L-2.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6d…38c1backed G2 Esports5c3,155$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.04922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa043…b419backed G2 Esports39c3,137$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21810543.8%46 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed G2 Esports23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015333.3%51 W · 102 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed G2 Esports8c2,963$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23014012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed G2 Esports39c2,837$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.228859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Dplus KIA55c2,715$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.3698956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…e1e1backed Dplus KIA68c2,590$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.8610759.8%64 W · 43 L-12.4wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-16.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed G2 Esports47c2,581$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.2119748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked G2 Esports46c2,544$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15914748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Dplus KIA67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82522355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Dplus KIA76c2,400$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.4313545.9%62 W · 73 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed G2 Esports4c2,267$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.442455%233 W · 191 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Esports9c2,126$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.741,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed G2 Esports24c2,100$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49897427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed G2 Esports46c2,060$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7855844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ec…4526backed G2 Esports16c2,045$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed G2 Esports4c2,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4444120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports31c2,000$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.51,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed G2 Esports43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.995343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e4…8d31backed G2 Esports43c1,946$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.782955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed G2 Esports47c1,895$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.68726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked G2 Esports6c1,650$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.233949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…d019backed G2 Esports3c1,639$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8757…8b54backed G2 Esports12c1,626$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-79.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA53c1,595$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6732145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ee…a16fbacked G2 Esports4c1,575$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.959725.8%25 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…5fbdbacked G2 Esports7c1,560$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.611635.3%41 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aad…4b0bbacked G2 Esports47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G2 Esports43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Dplus KIA55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9889050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked G2 Esports46c1,392$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1620546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed G2 Esports23c1,315$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.336643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed G2 Esports47c1,302$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9811247.3%53 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed G2 Esports3c1,250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Dplus KIA55c1,115$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.767955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb24…d246backed G2 Esports1c1,100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163520%7 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed G2 Esports3c1,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.31,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed G2 Esports19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20996452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e81…8b41backed G2 Esports4c1,086$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2710517.1%18 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed G2 Esports10c1,080$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10843539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.