Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74aa27417cfa4665a40a1aba4354f5bbe6ff8d0751dae02c646405189dbe215e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6401…f240backed G2 Esports | 41c | 1,124$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.9 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports | 69c | 990.01$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.52 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…9ba4backed Dplus KIA | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 720$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Dplus KIA | 57c | 540.52$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 506.9$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Dplus KIA | 30c | 426.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.41 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 Esports | 69c | 374.91$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.69 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 319.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 316.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 314.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed G2 Esports | 36c | 308.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Dplus KIA | 30c | 295.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Dplus KIA | 35c | 251.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 246.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 221.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Dplus KIA | 60c | 187.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 154.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked G2 Esports | 38c | 152.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked G2 Esports | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…3636backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 109.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked G2 Esports | 71c | 108.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Dplus KIA | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Dplus KIA | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Dplus KIA | 28c | 83.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Dplus KIA | 59c | 51.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Dplus KIA | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 39.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…b2eebacked G2 Esports | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed G2 Esports | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 32.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed G2 Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Dplus KIA | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…fe45backed G2 Esports | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…6cbdbacked Dplus KIA | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ADplus KIA won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.