Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc17f5ed2837e199d746fb2e883071ddecf1884d66de98a6a5c7321309c0f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 73c | 876.56$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 46c | 502.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 329.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…f976backed Under | 58c | 311.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 53c | 303$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 178.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 50c | 153.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 127.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 121.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 50c | 117.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Over | 22c | 109.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 41c | 104.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 48c | 101.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 40c | 94.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…a04fbacked Under | 54c | 91.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 47c | 91.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…63a1backed Over | 53c | 91.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Over | 51c | 89.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 35c | 75.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 67.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 58c | 64.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 21.3%26 W · 96 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 76c | 55.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 26c | 53.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 53c | 52.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 53c | 47.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 47c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…77a9backed Over | 53c | 27.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…c7abbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 19.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…723bbacked Under | 68c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ADplus KIA won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.