TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb24…d246

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3520%7 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+73%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$59.8
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$124.23
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120.64
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$91
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$82.8
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$94.6
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$132.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$48
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.77
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$80
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$120
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.76
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.85
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$44.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.