Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa255ab978a1eab78a7bd29479b0b9fe8e3de1904044f9887e470cebb7e04c63b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,412,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,660,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Top Esports | 71c | 92,442$65,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,811.31 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Top Esports | 73c | 40,612$29,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,030.53 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 37,155$8,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,136.24 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 35,700$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…6b8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 34,468$9,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,651.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 33,495$10,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,774.39 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 28,052$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.47 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 26,754$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.37 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Top Esports | 76c | 24,659$18,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.73 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 19,924$12,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.72 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Top Esports | 72c | 19,754$14,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.12 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports | 50c | 16,820$8,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,396.98 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 15,909$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.4 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Top Esports | 54c | 15,841$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.89 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports | 72c | 15,354$11,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.34 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports | 71c | 14,689$10,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.56 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 14,085$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.78 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 12,575$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.03 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports | 75c | 10,720$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.61 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Top Esports | 52c | 10,655$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.65 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Top Esports | 30c | 10,579$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,408.71 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Top Esports | 58c | 10,565$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.1 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 10,355$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.67 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports | 76c | 9,500$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 9,496$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports | 75c | 9,088$6,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Top Esports | 69c | 7,560$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 7,511$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.51 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 7,308$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.73 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 7,117$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports | 76c | 6,868$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.44 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…2c98backed Top Esports | 76c | 6,490$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 6,346$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.16 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Top Esports | 72c | 6,173$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.44 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 6,109$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.22 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports | 54c | 6,000$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.45 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 5,931$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.19 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 5,740$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.17 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports | 66c | 5,730$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.15 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Top Esports | 59c | 5,703$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.8 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Top Esports | 66c | 5,677$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.74 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Top Esports | 66c | 5,555$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 5,250$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.5 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Top Esports | 77c | 5,187$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.94 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 5,010$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.55 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Top Esports | 41c | 5,000$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.09 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Top Esports | 75c | 4,886$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.5 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 4,840$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.6 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Top Esports | 72c | 4,782$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.45 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 4,560$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.18 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Top Esports | 65c | 4,549$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.31 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports | 75c | 4,533$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.25 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 4,523$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 4,473$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.75 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 4,472$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.17 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6452backed Top Esports | 56c | 4,454$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.34 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +18.1wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Top Esports | 71c | 4,321$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.86 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 4,289$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.02 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Top Esports | 65c | 4,247$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.88 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 4,170$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.56 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 4,072$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.11 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Top Esports | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 3,997$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.95 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Top Esports | 78c | 3,858$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.71 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Top Esports | 77c | 3,853$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.07 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Top Esports | 53c | 3,821$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.9 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Top Esports | 45c | 3,585$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.65 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…f745backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 3,458$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.97 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed Top Esports | 44c | 3,306$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.27 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Top Esports | 73c | 3,202$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.54 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 3,158$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.94 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 3,137$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.64 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 2,776$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.77 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,698$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.08 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 2,682$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.86 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,667$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.49 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,643$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.27 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 2,355$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.39 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,288$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292f…7fc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 2,265$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.65 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 2,253$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.11 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Top Esports | 66c | 2,246$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.01 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,222$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.47 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 2,215$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 2,162$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.04 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked Top Esports | 73c | 2,155$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 2,116$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.44 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 2,067$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Top Esports | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,956$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,917$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.