Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e000fcdcc214b1a05b9f10611ae307210a43bf083643d021573aa4dc7e5fe75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,263,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,506,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,263,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 152,655$18,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,790.74 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 55,005$11,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,759.2 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 54,522$19,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,817.36 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Top Esports | 69c | 40,533$27,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,580.82 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Top Esports | 74c | 38,726$28,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.8 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 35,219$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.5 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Top Esports | 76c | 34,371$26,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.32 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 32,891$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.11 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292f…7fc2backed Top Esports | 79c | 30,649$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,348.98 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Top Esports | 66c | 27,923$18,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,501.66 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Top Esports | 71c | 26,304$18,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.47 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 25,639$7,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.84 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Top Esports | 76c | 24,334$18,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.15 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Top Esports | 67c | 24,332$16,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.4 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…1979backed Top Esports | 62c | 23,907$14,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,028.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 23,323$7,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 21,530$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.97 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Top Esports | 74c | 20,789$15,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.12 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 20,368$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.01 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports | 67c | 20,000$13,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.04 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Top Esports | 67c | 19,910$13,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.63 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Top Esports | 64c | 18,795$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.25 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Top Esports | 71c | 18,060$12,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.72 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 16,346$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.34 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 15,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.98 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 14,471$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.13 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 13,347$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.57 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 12,489$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.82 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Top Esports | 66c | 12,333$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.22 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9d36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 11,611$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.03 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 11,500$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 11,332$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.12 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 11,287$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.35 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 11,000$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 10,939$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.96 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 10,811$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.61 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Top Esports | 68c | 10,715$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.78 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports | 70c | 10,505$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.59 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Top Esports | 67c | 10,261$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.13 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Top Esports | 68c | 10,028$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.48 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 10,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 8,650$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.7 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 8,379$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.78 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Top Esports | 67c | 7,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports | 63c | 7,305$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…f745backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 7,201$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.52 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 7,056$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.26 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…ea32backed Top Esports | 70c | 7,020$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 6,975$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Top Esports | 68c | 6,500$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…2c98backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 6,021$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.65 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 6,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Top Esports | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 5,922$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.64 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports | 66c | 5,748$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.87 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports | 63c | 5,600$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.99 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Top Esports | 73c | 5,511$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…f071backed Top Esports | 75c | 5,472$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.41 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…b66abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 5,367$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Top Esports | 68c | 5,350$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.44 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 5,228$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.04 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6452backed Top Esports | 74c | 5,224$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.44 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +18.1wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports | 64c | 5,221$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.21 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 5,100$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 5,050$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 5,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 4,961$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Top Esports | 67c | 4,896$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.83 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked Top Esports | 68c | 4,854$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.69 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,716$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.32 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,650$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,491$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.08 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Top Esports | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 4,380$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.8 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 4,125$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.8 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 4,099$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.87 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 177 | 29.9%53 W · 124 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Top Esports | 67c | 3,864$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.04 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 3,750$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…0599backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 3,746$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 3,702$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.27 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…bb53backed Top Esports | 76c | 3,647$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.1 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Top Esports | 67c | 3,606$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.49 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Top Esports | 63c | 3,465$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.93 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 3,444$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.08 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Top Esports | 66c | 3,300$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Top Esports | 74c | 3,250$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.25 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Top Esports | 74c | 3,233$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.97 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 3,175$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 3,068$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.26 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 3,064$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 3,005$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.