Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b9312d3f6224434d12a16b44f7882c7ed77710bf72a4b7c84175f70057341c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Top Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 80,982$36,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,620.11 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Top Esports | 57c | 47,620$26,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,958.1 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Top Esports | 53c | 33,519$17,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,769.06 | 387 | 35.9%139 W · 248 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Top Esports | 55c | 24,641$13,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.29 | 212 | 48.6%103 W · 109 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 22,700$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,711.99 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.99 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Top Esports | 55c | 14,496$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports | 53c | 14,485$7,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671.47 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 6,971$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.47 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports | 53c | 6,666$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.98 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 5,539$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.91 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.05 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Top Esports | 53c | 4,438$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.35 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Top Esports | 51c | 4,198$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.85 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 4,115$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.76 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 56c | 2,767$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.3 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…7800backed Top Esports | 52c | 2,434$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Top Esports | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Top Esports | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports | 41c | 1,816$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.4 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,668$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.7 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.25 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Top Esports | 52c | 1,352$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.27 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Top Esports | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Top Esports | 73c | 1,198$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.18 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Top Esports | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Top Esports | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Top Esports | 53c | 987.74$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Top Esports | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Top Esports | 45c | 872.73$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.31 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 799.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.49 | 366 | 55.7%204 W · 162 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Top Esports | 53c | 763.53$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Top Esports | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Top Esports | 58c | 688.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 831 | 49.8%414 W · 417 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 681.3$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 668.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports | 53c | 665.05$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 663.58$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 600$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Top Esports | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 512 | 56.1%287 W · 225 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Top Esports | 58c | 515.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Top Esports | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 68c | 416.84$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…3455backed Top Esports | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 382.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 364 | 46.4%169 W · 195 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Top Esports | 53c | 371.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Top Esports | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Top Esports | 53c | 335$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 317.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked Top Esports | 53c | 312.81$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Top Esports | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Top Esports | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 301 | 34.2%103 W · 198 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Top Esports | 55c | 253.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Top Esports | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Top Esports | 50c | 233.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed Top Esports | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Top Esports | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 222.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Top Esports | 46c | 219.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Top Esports | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Top Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…3d08backed Top Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -15.5wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Top Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Top Esports | 53c | 188.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Top Esports | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Top Esports | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Top Esports | 53c | 178.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Top Esports | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Top Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 173.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…b9febacked Top Esports | 53c | 168.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Top Esports | 52c | 161.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 361 | 47.9%173 W · 188 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Top Esports | 55c | 148.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 139.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Top Esports | 54c | 131.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 128.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Top Esports | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Top Esports | 53c | 109.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 685 | 53.7%368 W · 317 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e2…f597backed Top Esports | 61c | 100.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Top Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.