TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x765f…1508

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,690
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category AI at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT49461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 494 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.33
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.4
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.34
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$52.22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$218.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.37
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.1
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.87
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.12
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.08
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.73
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$330.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$111.98
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Showing 25 of 494 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT33018.8%62 W · 268 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 330 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+219.3%+$237.31
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.87
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$211.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$1,008.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.91
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$218.24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$14.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$242.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$627.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$305.99
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$30.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.23
Showing 25 of 330 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT22363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$134.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$223.96
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$234.59
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$346.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$346.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$223.96
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$256.8
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.49
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$213.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$88.57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.15
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.95
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.4
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.29
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$318.71
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.92
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.44
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.33
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$94.31
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.94
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$139.33
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$389.85
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$332.33
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$292.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Will the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$116.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$100.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$332.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$110.78
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,332.69
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10135.6%36 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$128.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,134.54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+677.1%+$6,750.93
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$1,979.29
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.74
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.87
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Reece James score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,734.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,927.28
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.37
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$87.53
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$305.53
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.15
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240.1
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,991
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,844.45
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.02
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.4
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT9434%32 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.48
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$203.41
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.69
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.54
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$124.67
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$298.55
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.35
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$214.22
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$47.14
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.33
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$52.29
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$304.33
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7030%21 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+1,246.7%+$345.48
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.53
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.78
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.9
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.58
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+195.7%+$445.96
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.88
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$749.16
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.99
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$998.6
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$89.5
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.01
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.62
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.17
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.19
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$275.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.79
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$94.81
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.29
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$135.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.12
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.55
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$498.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+266.3%+$1,327.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$256.8
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$1,378.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.37
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$1,306.77
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$1,480.23
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.89
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+610.1%+$865.45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$435.28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$1,339.53
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.23
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.26
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.29
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.1
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$747.74
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$132.52
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.6
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$407.86
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.03
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$58.27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$349.73
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$110.7
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$249.25
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$258.59
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$603.73
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.41
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$43.63
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+699.3%+$8,688.58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$35.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$376.76
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.37
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$464.84
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+80%+$30.88
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.7
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$581.58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$6,942.91
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,601.09
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$140.6
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$299.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$254.52
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.87
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$513.88
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$335.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$792
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$62.32
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.8%+$719.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.2%+$772.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$154.4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.7%+$652.88
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$443.81
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$743.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$772
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$492.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+93%+$797.18
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$547.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+163.4%+$626.79
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$349.47
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$385.28
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.91
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$2,103.12
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.49
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$332.51
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.21
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.01
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$242.85
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.3
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$120.79
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.83
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$208.3
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.74
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,495.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,018.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$332.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,099Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$6,630.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$483.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,495.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,512.47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.5
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$442.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.55
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$249.25
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$289.14
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$304.63
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$249.09
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$269.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+90.5%+$171.5
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+154.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$304.63
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+244.8%+$2,440.93
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$404.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.94
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+247.3%+$268.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heracles Almelo vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$107.09
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$196.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$133.64
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$779.4
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39%+$228.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.