Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b29bbef495e597620b41238f841a5d691cd1db3f438c90537dcbace273494e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Invictus Gaming, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 2,291$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.89 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Invictus Gaming | 8c | 2,193$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Invictus Gaming | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Invictus Gaming | 27c | 906.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 833.24$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 806.7$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.81 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 72c | 759.29$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming | 27c | 739.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Invictus Gaming | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Invictus Gaming | 28c | 624.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Invictus Gaming | 26c | 549.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 384.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Weibo Gaming | 72c | 348.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Invictus Gaming | 23c | 316.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Invictus Gaming | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Invictus Gaming | 17c | 281.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked Weibo Gaming | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Invictus Gaming | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Invictus Gaming | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Weibo Gaming | 74c | 233.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Invictus Gaming | 28c | 224.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Weibo Gaming | 71c | 222.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Invictus Gaming | 18c | 218.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Invictus Gaming | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Weibo Gaming | 72c | 143.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 136.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Weibo Gaming | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cb…23dfbacked Weibo Gaming | 74c | 129.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…8b61backed Invictus Gaming | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked Weibo Gaming | 73c | 101.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Invictus Gaming | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Invictus Gaming | 28c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Weibo Gaming | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 306 | 66.3%203 W · 103 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Weibo Gaming | 73c | 59.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Invictus Gaming | 26c | 56.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -8.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Weibo Gaming | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Weibo Gaming | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Weibo Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Weibo Gaming | 72c | 18.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Weibo Gaming | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Invictus Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.