Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867469a142726f9bc05feb3884216e7ccd9c079d9f56ff334738b3a5e835c6b6

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7986…baa5backed Under	50c	5,936$2,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,966.63	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over	50c	4,693$2,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,357.12	137	35%48 W · 89 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	2,255$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,122.87	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	51c	1,323$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.8	890	50.6%450 W · 440 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Under	54c	1,148$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.11	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	51c	1,110$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.2	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	52c	965.94$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.46	214	58.9%126 W · 88 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	50c	950.64$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.16	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under	50c	793.83$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.92	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over	49c	792.21$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.86	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	29c	783.88$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.5	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	49c	724$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.95	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under	50c	619.42$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.74	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	65c	609.71$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.08	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	57c	533.62$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.62	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	510$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	209	46.4%97 W · 112 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	50c	487.13$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.82	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	56c	444.83$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.37	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	47c	423$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.02	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e45…8b46backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.9wins	+0.27per pick	42cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	395	41.3%163 W · 232 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under	51c	399.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	-12.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-43%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over	60c	357.31$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.31	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over	46c	355$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.75	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	49c	303.07$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.05	373	43.4%162 W · 211 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	47c	291$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.23	354	42.1%149 W · 205 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Under	52c	282.77$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.04	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-8.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd413…f862backed Under	51c	236.5$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.61	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over	52c	232.27$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.49	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	49c	224.49$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	47c	218.44$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.83	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd2…202dbacked Over	52c	209.4$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	49c	205$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.55	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under	48c	200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	45c	189.26$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.61	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over	56c	161.43$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	857	42.7%366 W · 491 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	41c	146.13$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.13	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344c…b454backed Over	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	51c	140$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	49c	133$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.73	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	41c	126.3$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over	49c	110.2$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	52c	101.92$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.92	923	54.3%501 W · 422 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	214	56.5%121 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	49c	97.56$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.76	246	42.3%104 W · 142 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over	50c	94.46$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.23	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	51c	80.81$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	20c	77.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over	49c	74.08$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.78	245	35.9%88 W · 157 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over	57c	70.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.02	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Over	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over	49c	52.65$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.85	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6724…ceb7backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f8…3925backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	53c	46.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.76	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	51c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	38c	40.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	219	45.2%99 W · 120 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under	44c	35.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Under	52c	31.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe052…4a2cbacked Under	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under	44c	27.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under	45c	22.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	46c	21.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cb…23dfbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Invictus Gaming won
First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaInvictus Gaming won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event