CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf475730b3e6403bd4893bc09ee57bc714535fbe902fc6faf49ab842abd6ed4dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed NIP | 58c | 49,399$28,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,505.98 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Alliance | 36c | 30,460$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,612.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Alliance | 38c | 30,000$11,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,637.71 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 60c | 23,672$14,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,210.8 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Alliance | 36c | 17,097$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,002.18 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NIP | 63c | 15,900$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.99 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NIP | 64c | 15,207$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,692.03 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NIP | 61c | 14,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Alliance | 37c | 12,758$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.46 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed NIP | 66c | 11,635$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.42 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 53c | 10,474$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.28 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Alliance | 48c | 9,984$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.74 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked NIP | 63c | 9,573$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 4c | 9,061$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Alliance | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed NIP | 64c | 7,613$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.12 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed NIP | 67c | 7,436$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Alliance | 35c | 6,923$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked NIP | 4c | 6,839$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked NIP | 67c | 6,349$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 66c | 6,067$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Alliance | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.63 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 41c | 5,814$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.73 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance | 43c | 4,902$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.96 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Alliance | 36c | 4,735$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.71 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked NIP | 66c | 4,719$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.04 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Alliance | 37c | 4,370$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.4 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Alliance | 34c | 4,254$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.41 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Alliance | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Alliance | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.98 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Alliance | 50c | 3,834$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed NIP | 53c | 3,748$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed NIP | 7c | 3,569$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 7c | 3,369$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Alliance | 30c | 3,268$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.45 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Alliance | 35c | 3,070$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.5 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance | 55c | 3,031$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.95 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Alliance | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Alliance | 43c | 2,950$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.5 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 13c | 2,912$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed NIP | 62c | 2,875$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.23 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 49c | 2,854$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Alliance | 64c | 2,802$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Alliance | 39c | 2,776$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.38 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 45c | 2,629$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alliance | 39c | 2,517$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.33 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Alliance | 47c | 2,503$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.06 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 49c | 2,500$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Alliance | 38c | 2,419$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.77 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Alliance | 47c | 2,366$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.33 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NIP | 59c | 2,356$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed NIP | 57c | 2,321$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.93 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed NIP | 48c | 2,308$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.43 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance | 48c | 2,262$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.92 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed NIP | 66c | 2,229$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Alliance | 35c | 2,100$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.97 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed NIP | 63c | 2,002$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.01 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Alliance | 37c | 1,968$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.45 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked NIP | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.2 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance | 37c | 1,910$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.62 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 35c | 1,853$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.68 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…dc4dbacked NIP | 54c | 1,800$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Alliance | 39c | 1,786$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Alliance | 44c | 1,728$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Alliance | 33c | 1,603$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.34 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Alliance | 33c | 1,554$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance | 33c | 1,545$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Alliance | 72c | 1,536$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.11 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Alliance | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked NIP | 66c | 1,491$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.94 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Alliance | 57c | 1,489$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.79 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…975fbacked NIP | 79c | 1,454$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.37 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Alliance | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.64 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 42c | 1,330$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.12 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed NIP | 53c | 1,328$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Alliance | 37c | 1,324$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.32 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Alliance | 34c | 1,259$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed NIP | 61c | 1,250$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.34 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…511dbacked NIP | 62c | 1,218$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Alliance | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed NIP | 57c | 1,195$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.36 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 62c | 1,178$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Alliance | 43c | 1,171$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed NIP | 61c | 1,168$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.55 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alliance | 49c | 1,150$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.33 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Alliance | 35c | 1,120$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.51 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Alliance | 37c | 1,119$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.97 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Alliance | 57c | 1,103$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance | 63c | 1,057$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 51c | 1,008$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked NIP | 31c | 1,001$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.07 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed Alliance | 31c | 1,000$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.73 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed NIP | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed NIP | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…3253backed NIP | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Alliance | 33c | 999.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.99 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagethis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.